Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 2.131700 2.428178 2.750440 3.126691 3.553898 4.023887 4.580210
2025-09-28 1.628273 2.022356 2.488124 3.079034 3.808764 4.680578 5.801777
2025-10-05 1.462646 1.928104 2.510823 3.293541 4.317473 5.611856 7.373766
2025-10-12 1.277922 1.769340 2.414425 3.322613 4.568333 6.217857 8.570359
2025-10-19 1.167484 1.686726 2.396918 3.438322 4.926570 6.977893 10.023756
2025-10-26 1.036929 1.556637 2.294229 3.416166 5.079701 7.456728 11.116261
2025-11-02 0.931526 1.448346 2.207066 3.400468 5.230600 7.933139 12.233593
2025-11-09 0.831195 1.335214 2.098766 3.337751 5.298165 8.282817 13.180027
2025-11-16 0.770488 1.275976 2.064540 3.381822 5.527801 8.889210 14.564342
2025-11-23 0.716715 1.221568 2.031248 3.421395 5.749241 9.494585 15.990392
2025-11-30 0.659502 1.155287 1.971657 3.410353 5.883377 9.965021 17.227535
2025-12-07 0.601060 1.080906 1.891216 3.355344 5.935870 10.299979 18.257275
2025-12-14 0.547886 1.014277 1.824121 3.328332 6.053778 10.788532 19.657642
2025-12-21 0.495754 0.944832 1.746684 3.277762 6.129661 11.219082 21.013150
2025-12-28 0.489719 0.959178 1.819693 3.505977 6.729573 12.629254 24.273473
2026-01-04 0.457247 0.919709 1.789295 3.536908 6.963111 13.389130 26.387715
2026-01-11 0.439429 0.906625 1.806791 3.660011 7.381869 14.527578 29.324932
2026-01-18 0.406171 0.859083 1.752753 3.636438 7.509506 15.117119 31.235490
2026-01-25 0.376980 0.816769 1.704787 3.619738 7.647755 15.736306 33.257077
2026-02-01 0.345624 0.766623 1.636034 3.553013 7.675753 16.134423 34.856033
2026-02-08 0.327910 0.743976 1.622009 3.599900 7.945443 17.047562 37.615256
2026-02-15 0.311171 0.721737 1.606637 3.642002 8.207751 17.965530 40.463987
2026-02-22 0.291301 0.690415 1.568607 3.630255 8.350103 18.637974 42.831684